CF40 Research: Three Channels to Expand Domestic Demand. An article published by Guan Wei of China Financial Forty Forum (CF40) pointed out that the expansion of total demand, whether it is to expand consumption or investment demand, should be implemented on credit growth. When credit goes up, residents, enterprises and governments have more money in their pockets, so do expenditures and incomes, as well as profits and investments. At present, there are three main ways to expand credit: first, fiscal policy is exerted and the government borrows money; Second, the monetary policy will exert its strength and reduce the policy interest rate; The third is to stabilize the real estate market, and there can be no further sharp decline. In terms of finance, maintain the intensity of fiscal expenditure in a broad sense, and moderately increase the fiscal deficit to 4% in 2025. In terms of monetary policy, we should take reducing the real interest rate as an important goal, continue to implement "strong interest rate reduction", and timely reduce the interest rate of structural monetary policy tools below the policy interest rate level. In terms of the property market, it will ease the current cash flow pressure faced by real estate enterprises and promote the real estate to stop falling and stabilize from both ends of supply and demand.The "Debt Bull" was launched, and a number of treasury bonds futures reached new highs. According to the analysis, the downward trend of broad-spectrum interest rates is expected to continue to support the bull market in the bond market. On December 10, 30-year, 10-year, 5-year and 2-year treasury bonds futures all hit record highs. Looking at it for a long time, since the beginning of this year, 30-year treasury bond futures have risen by nearly 16%, 10-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 5%, and 5-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 3%. Analysts pointed out that the logic of broad-spectrum interest rate downward has run through the whole year of 2024, and it is expected to continue to form an important support for the bond market in the long run. The recent market strength is not only an emotional effect at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, but also a blocking point to dredge and guide the overall downward trend of interest rates. Shen Wanhongyuan believes that in the short term, profit-taking behavior may increase after the low interest rate, but this is not the core factor that dominates the market. Shen Wanhongyuan said that the rate cut of policy interest rate in 2025 may not be less than 30 basis points. After the deployment of relevant important meetings at the end of the year, specific policies may be gradually implemented in the first quarter of next year. According to Huaxi Securities, looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be less than 50 basis points and 20 basis points (the rate in 2024). (Securities Times)Market information: Trump's nominee for US Treasury Secretary Bessent supports Federal Reserve Chairman Powell to complete his entire term.
More than 7,500 people who disappeared during the war in Bosnia and Herzegovina are still missing. On the 10th, Djudria, chairman of the Board of Directors of the Institute of Missing Persons in Bosnia and Herzegovina, said that there are still more than 7,500 people missing during the war in Bosnia and Herzegovina. Gyudria said that 35,000 people disappeared during the Bosnia-Herzegovina war, and about 80% of the remains have been found and identified. However, after more than 30 years, it is a great challenge to interpret satellite images from a technical and professional perspective, which leads to the slow progress in finding missing persons. She said that only by finding the missing person can we talk about real reconciliation and the healing of historical wounds. (Xinhua News Agency)China promised to continue to contribute to the United Nations Central Emergency Response Fund. On December 10th, local time, Geng Shuang, Deputy Permanent Representative of China to the United Nations, attended the 2025 High-level Pledging Conference of the United Nations Central Emergency Response Fund, saying that at present, geopolitical conflicts are constant, natural disasters are frequent, the global humanitarian situation has deteriorated significantly, and humanitarian needs are increasing. The important role of the Central Emergency Response Fund in providing rescue, saving lives and alleviating suffering has further increased. Geng Shuang said that China has always supported the United Nations to play a coordinating role in international humanitarian relief and the Central Emergency Response Fund to carry out its work. Since 2007, voluntary contributions have been made to the Fund every year. In 2024, donations have been completed, and contributions will continue to be made to the Fund in 2025. Geng Shuang said that China has provided long-term humanitarian assistance to countries in need through bilateral channels and in various forms, and will continue to uphold the concept of a community of human destiny, make joint efforts with the international community, and support countries and people in need to cope with the humanitarian crisis and get out of the humanitarian predicament. (CCTV)Hezbollah in Lebanon said that it hoped that Syria would firmly resist Israel. Hezbollah in Lebanon issued a statement on the 10th local time, strongly condemning the continued invasion of Syrian territory by Israeli troops and destroying Syria's military combat capability, calling it a dangerous aggression. The statement pointed out that the UN Security Council, the international community and Arab countries have the responsibility to oppose and stop these Israeli actions and protect the Syrian people at this sensitive and crucial historical moment. Hezbollah in Lebanon also expressed its hope to see Syria stabilize, resolutely resist Israel and prevent foreign interference. (CCTV)
An attack on a minibus in Haiti caused 8 deaths and 10 injuries. On December 10, local time, Haitian police released a report saying that a minibus was attacked by gangs in Deluge, Artibonite province on the 9 th, causing 8 deaths and 10 injuries, including 8 serious injuries. (CCTV)The commander of Syrian democratic forces said that under the mediation of the US, Syrian rebels and Syrian democratic forces reached a ceasefire agreement in the northern city of Mambiji.Argentina's MERVAL index closed down 1.34% to 2.199 million points.
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14